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June 3, 2008

Cellphones and Cancer, what we don't know.

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Editorial:

Today's New York Times has an article which revisits the question of a possible link between cell phone use and cancer.

While I am not going to debate the science, I draw from a personal experience with contact lenses to make the personal choice here. Back in the day, we were told we could wear lenses thirty days and sleep with them. I developed a corneal ulcer as result, fortunately treatable with no permanent effects. Several years later, the industry came out with new data reversing themselves on extended use.

The Times article even cited the F.D.A. "that the average period of phone use in the studies it cites was about three years, so the research doesn't answer questions about long-term exposures."

Point, what we don't know is what concerns me with respect to cell phone usage over time and a headset seems like a simple and prudent measure. The article also questions if children who face a lifetime of use, (likely heavy users from what I notice) are they potential at greater risk from our lack of long term studies?

If not already in place, the industry should fund long term clinical studies and be as transparent as possible on the subject, it will only serve to boost their economic interests in the long run.

May 27, 2008

Mobile content business is growing steadily

Levi Shapiro addresses 2007 & Q1 2008 Mobile Content Data Market Figures

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April 22, 2008

Solaiemes

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Solaiemes is a mobile start-up focused on delivering live handset to web experiences, this via their web page widget pushed through custom configured servers. Currently, only operating in Europe, they are positioning themselves for the U.S when upstream speeds improve beyond 64 kbps. They see market opportunities in law enforcement and real estate however, other ideas would certainly develop.

solaiemes has developed a live to web application widget as they call it which uses a 64kb streaming from certain mobile handsets.;

Continue reading "Solaiemes" »

February 3, 2008

Life May be Greater than the Internet

A trio of Austrian students, called iBand have made two significant points using hacked iphones to record original music, 1. Out of the gate Apple should have released their platform to developers 2. PDA's, AIO's (all in one's) are being pushed beyond their original concept to create new forms of communication and art.

Forget the music is rudamentary in nature or (lacks more drums as one person wrote on their site), If you extrapolate on this original work to incorporate live video calls, mashed up video and music, both original and commercial it becomes not only art and communication but also commerce which afteral has to be part of the mix

November 15, 2007

Google On The Android Platform

November 6, 2007

If I Had a Magic Phone

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That Google has formed the Open Handset Alliance is further evidence that the phone will transform into a transportable personal computing and entertainment platform, that also happens to make phone calls.


Continue reading "If I Had a Magic Phone" »

October 18, 2007

We're Open For Business

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That Apple has finally opened it's API for some third-party limited programming is now yesterday's news. What is interesting is that it took this long for them to realize they are no longer simply a computer maker, but a consumer products company of which the computer is becoming a smaller part.

That Michael McGuire, an analyst who follows Apple for Gartner Group suggested that Apple had planned a development kit all along is doubtful, this from a company that could have staked out a major share of the computer market back when Windows 2.5 was the terror we all had to deal with, this was Jobs at the helm then as now, hold on too tight and it will ooze out of your hands.

So, yippie for the API it will foster a development community which will only grow more Apple's...

September 13, 2007

Openness, its time to deregulate the mobile phone’s API!

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© denevt - Fotolia.com

The morphing of the cell phone platform from simple communication form factor to multimedia platform with cell capability began some time ago; it was just so subtle and kludgy that it took Apple's marketing and UI genius in the form of the iPhone to really make the point loud and clear for the industry.

That Google is rumored to be working on a platform, see the September 13th issue of Business Week is not much of a surprise, but a welcome next step in its evolution.

I would bet that Google understands the import of an open API, which will allow third-party software companies to write applications for its platform, witness their very successful Maps.

That Google may make a bold step here to reshape the mobile landscape and Apple has made a half step is interesting, especially since that later is supposed to be a computer company with vision. It’s not about bashing, Apple, the iPhone’s price or even Steve Jobs. I want choice, choice to view Flash video, install my own apps, widgets, etc..which I can do to some extent with my Blackberry.

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© ghammer
That this photo illustrates that people have embraced viewing video content while in motion is no surprise to me as an evangelist for Internet TV, what surprises me is why are old time and new-time (Apple) handset makers afraid of the future? History has shown that openness will allow more of us to join the party…this is of course if we are welcomed beyond the velvet ropes?

Open the floodgates Google; the landscape will never be the same…

August 28, 2007

When History (or a bad meal) Repeats

Now that George Hotz, of Glen Rock, N.J has unlocked the iPhone for other carrier networks, it reminds me of another time when Apple wanted to be the only fruit hanging on the tree.

Back in the days of Windows 2.5, (a very bad OS) when Apple could have made a serious challenge to the computing landscape they choose instead to operate in a closed environment and not license their OS to other hardware manufactures, you know the rest.

VHS and BetaMax is another example of how better quality does not always win out, it often comes down to accessibility and price, performance is a relative measure.

That Apple’s new found success is due in large measure to the ipod and iphone and not their computers speaks to mass consumer demand for electronics and not niche market computers no matter how elegant the OS.

The iphone is a course change for the cell phone industry from a user operational perspective and clones will appear. The question is why not open the iphone so it can work on other networks and grow a cottage industry of third-party plug-ins like ( ____ fill in the blank) here in the U.S. and abroad.

Apple, why not invite some more friends to hang with you on the tree?

August 21, 2007

A Look at the Hispanic Mobile Consumer - by Levi Shapiro

With his Austin Powers haircut and surfer-boy sandals, 24-year-old Alberto Salas does not look like the future of the U.S. mobile industry, but his phone is at the center of his life. “My phone is very important to me,” says the Miami native, whose parents emigrated from Cuba. “I couldn’t even wake up in the morning if it wasn’t for the alarm in this thing.” Hispanics are now the fastest-growing and youngest-skewing U.S. mobile segment, with a higher average revenue per user (ARPU) than any other demographic group, according to the latest Telephia research. The challenge for carriers, content providers and advertisers is to create an emotional bond that resonates with this young, but extremely diverse group.

Sprint is packaging its Hispanic-relevant products in an emotional way—through fast cars and Rock & Roll!! This month, Sprint will sponsor the U.S. tour of Mexican rock band Mana—who have sold more than 23 million albums and won 5 Grammies. The relationship includes original Mana content exclusively for Sprint subscribers. According to Isaac Mizrahi, Sprint’s director of multi-cultural marketing, “There are three pillars to all of our efforts—build brand equity, drive traffic to retail and drive additional data consumption.”

To further reach their target of first and second generation young Hispanics, Sprint is sponsoring Juan Pablo Montoya, the first Latino to win at NASCAR. “Our marketing message reinforces the speed of NASCAR with the speed of our international walkie-talkie product,” says Mizrahi.

Marketing to Hispanics used to mean focusing on major markets like Miami, Los Angeles, New York and Houston, but that picture has changed too. Hispanics account for more than 10% of the population in 14 states and the marketing challenge is regional if not yet national.

In addition to being younger, and increasingly dispersed across the country, U.S. Hispanics tend to come from larger families and are less likely to have Internet access at home than the overall population. These factors may explain why so many in this demographic view the handset as their primary multi-media access device. Both acculturated (English language in the home) and unacculturated Hispanics over-index on usage of various data services. For example, Hispanics are nearly twice as likely as non-Hispanics to access the wireless Internet. According to John Hadl, CEO of mobile marketing and advertising consultancy Brand in Hand, “Without a doubt, mobile Web advertising is a very effective means for reaching acculturated Hispanics in the general advertising market. You need to be smart, but mobile Internet is a great platform for engaging with Hispanics.”

Nick Montes, president of Viva Vision, a Hispanic-focused, English-language mobile video programmer, cautions that a “one-dimensional content strategy is not going to work. It is critical to focus on a sub-segment of the Hispanic marketplace. Our viewers are looking for content that is unique, irreverent, that is not what you see on traditional broadcast.”

Jill Rueckert Lopez, associate director of multicultural marketing at Verizon Wireless, agrees with this sentiment, noting that the key to successful marketing to Hispanic customers is by first recognizing the breadth and diversity of the Hispanic customer base. "Verizon Wireless has created programs and services that appeal to Hispanic customers who speak Spanish but are equally as comfortable with English. Reaching these customers means creating the products and services that enhance their wireless experience."

Not all of the higher ARPU is attributable to data usage. Hispanics like to talk, averaging more than one-third more voice minutes used per month than non-Hispanics (see Table 1). Moreover, average incoming and outgoing calls per day for Hispanics are 40% higher than non-Hispanics. Ironically, the demographic with the highest ARPU is also very price-sensitive. The top four decision criteria for selecting a provider are all price and value-related: price, minutes, plan and service promotion.

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Remember Alberto Salas? Despite only having a part-time job while pursuing an MBA, he owns a $500 video-capable, feature-rich handset. For the younger demographic, the phone is a lifestyle product. “I like to listen to music and play Sudoku,” says Salas.

Reaching consumers like Alberto Salas can be a complex proposition, and understanding differences and similarities among Hispanic mobile consumers will be critical for marketers. Carriers, content owners and brands that learn to micro-segment and appeal to the aspirational pull of the mobile product for Hispanics, especially for the younger set, will have the best chance to capture Alberto Salas as a lifetime customer.

May 24, 2007

Mobile Content Market Size Q1-07

The latest figures on mobile growth from Levi Shapiro. Note that video usage has risen modestly to 8.4 Mil Subs from 6.9 Mil in December of "06. That said, SMS and Audio far outstrip video by huge margins, it will be interested to see if there is a spike in usage when Apple rolls out the iPhone.

March 17, 2007

Mobile TV/Video: Are You Watching?

Dave Willis is not a media revolutionary. The thirty-four year old financial analyst and father of two does not own a Blackberry, thinks YouTube is “junior varsity” and professes to read the newspaper every morning. He does, however, spend $15 each month for the Verizon Wireless V-Cast video service on his cell phone. Mr. Willis notes, “It’s worth it. I can watch Sports Center on a Monday morning without some guy in IT spying on me.” Mobile video usage in the US is now big enough to measure and analyze, and we are starting to discover what the mobile video audience looks like. The challenge now for the industry is to combine what it can learn about mobile video users with technological and business process innovation to grow the overall market.

According to the latest mobile video research from Telephia, there were 6.2 million mobile video subscribers in the US at the end of last year (see Chart 1), with 15% of new handsets sold having video capability. The audience is young (mostly 18-34 years of age and skews 70% male. Mobile video consumers also have higher incomes and are more ethnically diverse than the overall mobile population. Interestingly, these users are not all-watching mobile video where you might expect. Many people actually watch mobile video at home. Almost half of mobile video subscribers live in a household of four or more people, so during certain periods of the day, the phone may be their primary screen. We have seen a similar pattern in mobile Internet usage.

Although the mobile video market grew by 188% since Q4 2005, it still represents only 2.7% of wireless subscribers in the USA and 3% in the UK. How will the market reach penetration levels of 30 to 40%, such as those in Korea? That would suggest an addressable market in the USA of 80 million viewers. One means may be via mobile advertising. In Korea, five of the six mobile broadcasters are advertising-supported.

Chart 1: U.S. Mobile Video Subscriber Growth
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There are early signs that the ad-supported model can work. Last year, Endemol’s mobile version of its “Big Brother” program transitioned from a paid mobile download to ad-supported and the audience grew by a factor of 10. "We are big believers that you can't fleece consumers for too much money. You have to get the advertisers to pay," says Peter Cowley, Managing Director of Digital Media at Endemol UK. His counterpart at Endemol USA, John Vlassopoulos, agrees. “We want the largest possible audience and we see again and again that there is no better price point than free.”

Of course, a real advertising market will require good audience measurement, as well as acceptable formatting. Telephia’s research suggests a high tolerance for mobile video ads in exchange for lower prices. In fact, consumer action in response to ads on mobile is encouragingly high. As can be seen from the chart below, more than one quarter of current mobile users have sent a text in response to an ad they saw on their mobile phone. Moreover, one in five have gone to a mobile internet site or sent an email in response to an ad they viewed on their mobile phone. These enviable response rates mean that mobile video ads may be able to command higher CPM’s (cost per thousand views) than other platforms.

Chart 2: Responses Towards Ads by Mobile Ad Viewers
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Finally, the growth of mobile video is also dependent on technological innovation. Presently, mobile video is still a lean-back, passive and linear viewing experience, whether users are watching downloaded clips or scheduled programming. Telephia’s research suggests that mobile video subscribers are active users of other services too. Nearly all (96%) of the current mobile video users surveyed at the end of last year said that had accessed the wireless Internet recently (see Chart 3). Nearly two thirds were uploading data to the internet, compared to only 3% wireless users as a whole. Is there room for a more interactive mobile video offering that reflects more closely the multi-tasking habits of these wireless mobile consumers?

Chart 3: Use of Wireless Data Applications
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Mobile video is at an exciting crossroads. The industry can replicate the linear TV experience and continue to grow at a reasonable rate. Alternatively, the industry can explore fundamental innovations to the viewing and pricing format that could lead to giant leaps in mobile video adoption, and while doing so, transform the television experience.

By Levi Shapiro, Director of Mobile Content, Telephia
This article will appear in an upcoming issue of Wireless Week

March 11, 2007

Mobile TV USA

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Levi Shapiro of IPTVe spoke at the November 2006 Mobile TV USA and addressed the question, Who is watching mobile TV

March 7, 2007

Challenges For Mobile Internet

Enclosed is a slide deck for mobile penetration ending Q4, 2006. Highlighted are Revenues ending 2006, Numbers of Subscribers, Audience Demo, Top Web Properties, Services customers use most, Device Penetration and Top Applications by Revenue Share.

(Click on image to enlarge, you can mouse forward or backwards on the left or right side of the slide)

January 16, 2007

Mobile Media Overview for Q3, 2006

Levi Shapiro has assembled data illustrating the steady growth of mobile media during 2006. Specifically, TV/Video downloads have risen by 174% since the beginning of that year in addition to total number of subscribers using multimedia content. Certainly, 2007 will see an acceleration especially as 3G rolls out nationwide with easier UI navigation for users to locate content. One potential wild card worth watching will be the i-phone and Apple’s ability to grow markets, this due to their innovative design and functionality.

(Click on any image to enlarge, you can mouse forward or backwards on the left or right side of the slide)